| 1. Identificação | ||||
| Tipo de Referência | Artigo em Revista Científica (Journal Article) | |||
| Site | mtc-m21c.sid.inpe.br | |||
| Código do Detentor | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S | |||
| Identificador | 8JMKD3MGP3W34R/43754FE | |||
| Repositório | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2020/09.03.14.26 | |||
| Última Atualização | 2020:09.03.14.26.02 (UTC) administrator | |||
| Repositório de Metadados | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2020/09.03.14.26.03 | |||
| Última Atualização dos Metadados | 2022:01.04.01.35.21 (UTC) administrator | |||
| DOI | 10.1175/WAF-D-19-0200.1 | |||
| ISSN | 0882-8156 | |||
| Chave de Citação | AlvarezCoeOsmFirVer:2020:AsECSu | |||
| Título | Assessment of ECMWF subseasonal temperature predictions for an anomalously cold week followed by an anomalously warm week in central and Southeastern South America during July 2017  | |||
| Ano | 2020 | |||
| Mês | Oct. | |||
| Data de Acesso | 02 maio 2024 | |||
| Tipo de Trabalho | journal article | |||
| Tipo Secundário | PRE PI | |||
| Número de Arquivos | 1 | |||
| Tamanho | 4682 KiB | |||
| 2. Contextualização | ||||
| Autor | 1 Alvarez, M. S. 2 Coelho, Caio Augusto dos Santos 3 Osman, M. 4 Firpo, Mári Andrea Feldman 5 Vera, C. S. | |||
| Grupo | 1 2 DIDOP-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR 3 4 MET-MET-SESPG-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR | |||
| Afiliação | 1 Universidad de Buenos Aires 2 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 3 Universidad de Buenos Aires 4 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 5 Universidad de Buenos Aires | |||
| Endereço de e-Mail do Autor | 1 alvarez@cima.fcen.uba.ar 2 caio.coelho@inpe.br | |||
| Revista | Weather and Forecasting | |||
| Volume | 35 | |||
| Número | 5 | |||
| Páginas | 1871-1889 | |||
| Nota Secundária | A2_INTERDISCIPLINAR A2_GEOCIÊNCIAS | |||
| Histórico (UTC) | 2020-09-03 14:26:03 :: simone -> administrator :: 2020-09-03 14:26:04 :: administrator -> simone :: 2020 2020-09-03 14:26:28 :: simone -> administrator :: 2020 2022-01-04 01:35:21 :: administrator -> simone :: 2020 | |||
| 3. Conteúdo e estrutura | ||||
| É a matriz ou uma cópia? | é a matriz | |||
| Estágio do Conteúdo | concluido | |||
| Transferível | 1 | |||
| Tipo do Conteúdo | External Contribution | |||
| Tipo de Versão | publisher | |||
| Resumo | The demand of subseasonal predictions (from one to about four weeks in advance) has been consid-erably increasing as these predictions can potentially help prepare for the occurrence of high-impact events such as heat or cold waves that affect both social and economic activities. This study aims to assess the subseasonal temperature prediction quality of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) against the Japan Meteorological Agency reanalyses. Two consecutive weeks of July 2017 were analyzed, which presented anomalously cold and warm conditions over central South America. The quality of 20 years of hindcasts for the two investigated weeks was compared to that for similar weeks during the JJA season and of 3 years of real-time forecasts for the same season. Anomalously cold temperatures observed during the week of 1723 July 2017 were well predicted one week in advance. Moreover, the warm anomalies observed during the following week of 2430 July 2017 were well predicted two weeks in advance. Higher linear association and discrimination (ability to distinguish events from nonevents), but reduced reliability, was found for the 20 years of hindcasts for the target week than for the hindcasts produced for all of the JJA season. In addition, the real-time forecasts showed generally better performance over some regions of South America than the hindcasts. The assessment provides robust evidence about temperature prediction quality to build confidence in regional subseasonal forecasts as well as to identify regions in which the predictions have better performance. | |||
| Área | MET | |||
| Arranjo 1 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção pgr ATUAIS > MET > Assessment of ECMWF... | |||
| Arranjo 2 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > DIDOP > Assessment of ECMWF... | |||
| Conteúdo da Pasta doc | acessar | |||
| Conteúdo da Pasta source | não têm arquivos | |||
| Conteúdo da Pasta agreement |
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| 4. Condições de acesso e uso | ||||
| URL dos dados | http://urlib.net/ibi/8JMKD3MGP3W34R/43754FE | |||
| URL dos dados zipados | http://urlib.net/zip/8JMKD3MGP3W34R/43754FE | |||
| Idioma | en | |||
| Arquivo Alvo | alvarez_assessment.pdf | |||
| Grupo de Usuários | simone | |||
| Visibilidade | shown | |||
| Política de Arquivamento | denypublisher6 allowfinaldraft | |||
| Permissão de Leitura | allow from all | |||
| Permissão de Atualização | não transferida | |||
| 5. Fontes relacionadas | ||||
| Unidades Imediatamente Superiores | 8JMKD3MGPCW/3F35TRS 8JMKD3MGPCW/43SQKNE | |||
| Divulgação | WEBSCI; PORTALCAPES; MGA; COMPENDEX. | |||
| Acervo Hospedeiro | urlib.net/www/2017/11.22.19.04 | |||
| 6. Notas | ||||
| Campos Vazios | alternatejournal archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel e-mailaddress format isbn keywords label lineage mark mirrorrepository nextedition notes orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project readergroup resumeid rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarykey session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype url | |||
| 7. Controle da descrição | ||||
| e-Mail (login) | simone | |||
| atualizar | ||||